Articles
Forecast notes.
Notes on the weather from the people who build the forecast: what’s coming, why, and what it means for work outside.
Why this spring’s frost risk sits late in the season
Dry soils and clear nights are pushing the last frosts into October across the tablelands. Here’s what the models are seeing, week by week.
Reading a nowcast: what the next two hours can and can’t tell you
Radar nowcasts are sharp for an hour and fuzzy by the second. How to tell a passing shower from the start of a wet afternoon.
El Niño, La Niña and your planting calendar
The Pacific sets the tone for an Australian season months ahead. What a neutral year means for sowing, spraying and harvest.
How our models learn from forty years of observations
Reanalysis, station data and radar, stitched into one training set. A look under the hood of a machine-learning forecast.
Gust fronts: the wind change that catches crane crews out
A storm 30 km away can still send a wall of wind across your site. How to see it coming and how much warning to expect.
Planning outdoor work around wet-bulb temperature
Thirty-five degrees in dry air and thirty in humid air are not the same day. Why heat policies are moving to wet-bulb readings.
Spring storm season: hail, lightning and the events calendar
Storms cluster late in the afternoon from October. What that means for outdoor events and when to make the call.